[quote=“Ryan Paddy”]Con size (average non-Flagship round attendance) has done this:
2008: 37
2009: 48 (130% annual growth)
2010: 74 (154% annual growth)
Next year we might expect a con size of anything between about 95 and 120, depending on whether annual growth peaks or continues to trend exponentially. If 2/3 of those players want accomodation, then between about 63 and 80 will want to stay.
If my upper prediction is correct, there will be 26 people without bunks. Some overflow next year could be handled by sleeping some folks on mattresses in the small dining hall, or camping.
By the same sort of logic, the flagship might expect about 110 to 120 players next year, assuming we had 95 this year.[/quote]
I don’t know how this impacts your maths, Ryan, but I did some playing with the registration spreadsheets this evening and here are some more numbers for you. Over 3 years, we have had 133 different individuals attend Chimera. That means our pool of attendees is actually much larger than the number of people we have at any one time.
35 people have attended all three Chimeras
32 have attended two out of the three (15 have attended the last two consecutive years, 6 have attended first and third, and 11 attended the first two years but not this one)
66 people have attended only one Chimera (12 of those attended 2008, 15 of those attended 2009, 39 of those attended 2010)
Type of Attendance
2008: 54% of people stayed for the full weekend, 24% came for partial weekend, and 22% for just the flagship
2009: 70% of people stayed for the full weekend, 8% came for partial weekend, and 22% for just the flagship
2010: 76.5% of people stayed for the full weekend, 9% came for partial weekend, and 13.5% for just the flagship